TECHNICAL ARTICLES - PIG INDUSTRY
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Summary
(1) Livestock production is growing faster than other agricultural
sub-sectors, and it is predicted that by 2020 livestock will produce more than
half of the global agricultural output in value terms. The implications of such
dynamic developments on national and international public goods, such as sustainability
of the natural resource base, (veterinary) public health, and social equality
are potentially very substantial; there are therefore commensurate risks to
be dealt with, but also opportunities to be exploited.
(2) Increasing livestock densities in humid and warm ecologies
contribute to higher frequency and exposure to animal disease agents, both endemic
and epidemic, and including those of zoonotic nature. New diseases are likely
to emerge and known diseases are likely to evolve biologically and epidemiologically
in new and potentially dangerous ways.
(3) Intensification and industrialisation of livestock production
bear the risk of soil, water and air pollution where environmental legislation
is either not available or not rigorously enforced. Growing scales of production,
often accelerated by the opportunity of unconstrained externalisation of societal
and environmental costs of large-scale, capital intensive operations, contribute
to the marginalisation of small-scale rural livestock producers despite overall
expanding markets.
(4) In many parts of the world, extensive grazing systems are
associated with environmental degradation due to overstocking and inappropriate
herd and pasture management, with arable land encroachment and wildlife–livestock
competition often exacerbating such pressure. Where rangeland is still being
created through rainforest conversion, substantial environmental costs are often
associated with this process.
(5) The substantial and rapid structural changes in the livestock
sector require that governments and industry prepare for this continuing transformation
with policies and investments that will satisfy consumer demands, improve nutrition,
direct income growth opportunities to the poor, and alleviate environmental
and public health stress. Such policies and investments would provide an enabling
environment for enhancing the productivity and competitiveness of the livestock
sector through technical interventions in the areas of animal disease management,
animal production and post-harvest technology while providing a ‘level
playing field’ through the removal of policy distortions that create and
maintain barriers primarily to smallholders for entry into markets. Of particular
importance are efforts to integrate technologies in the contexts of good agricultural
practices and comprehensive farm to fork approaches.
(6) Selected examples are given of collaborative inter-institutional
efforts of FAO’s Livestock Programme in addressing the issues highlighted:
[1] the Diversification Component of the FAO Special Programme for Food Security
(SPFS); [2] the Livestock-Environment and Development Initiative (LEAD); [3]
the Pro-Poor Livestock Policy Facility (PPLPF); and the FAO/OIE sponsored Global
Framework for the Progressive Control of FMD and Other Transboundary Animal
Diseases (GF-TADs).
Livestock production by commodity: past and projected (FAO, 2003)
1967/69 |
1987/89 |
1997/99 |
2015 |
2030 |
1969-1999 |
1989-1999 |
1995/97-2015 |
2015-2030 |
|
million tons |
percent p.a. |
||||||||
| Total meat | |||||||||
| World | 92 |
166 |
218 |
300 |
376 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
excl. China |
84 |
142 |
162 |
218 |
277 |
2.1 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
| Developing countries | 28 |
66 |
116 |
181 |
247 |
5.2 |
5.9 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
excl. China |
21 |
41 |
60 |
98 |
147 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
excl. China and Brazil |
18 |
34 |
47 |
79 |
123 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
| sub-Saharan Africa | 3 |
4 |
5 |
9 |
16 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
| Latin America | 10 |
19 |
28 |
43 |
58 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
excl. Brazil |
7 |
11 |
15 |
24 |
33 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
| Near East / North Africa | 2 |
5 |
7 |
13 |
19 |
4.4 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
2.9 |
| South Asia | 3 |
5 |
7 |
13 |
23 |
3.7 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
| East Asia | 10 |
33 |
69 |
103 |
131 |
7.1 |
7.6 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
excl. China |
3 |
8 |
13 |
21 |
32 |
5.1 |
4.1 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
| Industrial countries | 46 |
71 |
85 |
99 |
107 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
| Transition countries | 17 |
29 |
17 |
20 |
22 |
0.0 |
-6.4 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
| Bovine meat | |||||||||
| World | 38.0 |
53.7 |
58.7 |
74.0 |
88.4 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
| Developing countries | 11.8 |
19.3 |
28.0 |
41.2 |
55.0 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
excl. China |
11.7 |
18.4 |
23.2 |
33.5 |
44.1 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
excl. China and Brazil |
10.0 |
14.4 |
17.3 |
25.2 |
34.1 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
| sub-Saharan Africa | 1.6 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
4.3 |
6.7 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
| Latin America | 6.8 |
10.4 |
13.1 |
18.2 |
22.5 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
excl. Brazil |
5.1 |
6.5 |
7.2 |
9.9 |
12.5 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
| Near East / North Africa | 0.7 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
4.1 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
| South Asia | 1.7 |
3.1 |
4.0 |
5.7 |
7.4 |
3.1 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
| East Asia | 1.0 |
2.3 |
6.4 |
10.1 |
14.4 |
6.4 |
11.5 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
excl. China |
0.8 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
3.5 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
| Industrial countries | 19.1 |
23.8 |
25.0 |
26.6 |
26.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
| Transition countries | 7.0 |
10.6 |
5.7 |
6.3 |
6.9 |
-0.3 |
-7.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
| Ovine meat | |||||||||
| World | 6.6 |
9.1 |
10.8 |
15.3 |
20.1 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
| Developing countries | 3.0 |
5.0 |
7.4 |
11.2 |
15.4 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
| sub-Saharan Africa | 0.6 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
3.4 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
| Near East / North Africa | 0.9 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
| South Asia | 0.6 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
1.4 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
| East Asia | 0.4 |
1.1 |
2.5 |
3.8 |
4.8 |
7.0 |
8.1 |
2.6 |
1.5 |
| Industrial countries | 2.4 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
0.6 |
-0.8 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
| Transition countries | 1.3 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
-1.0 |
-6.4 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
| Pig meat | |||||||||
| World | 34.1 |
66.3 |
86.5 |
110.2 |
124.5 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
| excl. China | 28.1 |
46.2 |
48.1 |
57.9 |
66.2 |
1.7 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
| Developing countries | 9.7 |
28.0 |
49.3 |
69.5 |
82.8 |
6.1 |
5.7 |
2.0 |
1.2 |
excl. China |
3.8 |
7.9 |
10.9 |
17.2 |
24.5 |
3.7 |
3.4 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
| Latin America | 1.8 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
6.0 |
7.8 |
2.1 |
3.9 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
excl. Brazil |
1.1 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
3.4 |
4.4 |
1.7 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
| East Asia | 7.6 |
24.2 |
44.3 |
61.6 |
71.9 |
6.8 |
6.0 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
excl. China |
1.6 |
4.0 |
5.9 |
9.3 |
13.6 |
5.1 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
| Industrial countries | 16.6 |
26.0 |
29.3 |
32.3 |
33.1 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
| Transition countries | 7.7 |
12.3 |
7.9 |
8.4 |
8.6 |
-0.1 |
-5.3 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
| Poultry meat | |||||||||
| World | 12.9 |
37.2 |
61.8 |
100.6 |
143.3 |
5.2 |
5.4 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
excl. China |
12.1 |
34.6 |
51.2 |
81.4 |
117.5 |
4.8 |
4.1 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
| Developing countries | 3.3 |
13.2 |
31.3 |
59.1 |
93.5 |
7.9 |
9.4 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
excl. China |
2.5 |
10.6 |
20.7 |
39.9 |
67.7 |
7.4 |
7.2 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
excl. China and Brazil |
2.2 |
8.6 |
15.6 |
31.9 |
56.4 |
6.9 |
6.4 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
| sub-Saharan Africa | 0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
2.6 |
4.3 |
5.1 |
| Latin America | 1.0 |
4.7 |
10.5 |
18.2 |
27.3 |
7.8 |
9.0 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
excl. Brazil |
0.7 |
2.7 |
5.4 |
10.2 |
16.0 |
6.7 |
8.4 |
3.8 |
3.0 |
| Near East / North Africa | 0.4 |
2.1 |
3.2 |
7.1 |
11.6 |
7.7 |
5.2 |
4.7 |
3.3 |
| South Asia | 0.2 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
3.9 |
10.6 |
7.7 |
7.2 |
7.9 |
6.9 |
| East Asia | 1.5 |
5.3 |
15.5 |
27.9 |
39.9 |
8.5 |
11.7 |
3.5 |
2.4 |
excl. China |
0.7 |
2.6 |
4.9 |
8.7 |
14.1 |
7.3 |
6.1 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
| Industrial countries | 8.1 |
18.8 |
27.7 |
37.5 |
44.1 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
| Transition countries | 1.5 |
5.2 |
2.9 |
4.1 |
5.7 |
1.6 |
-6.7 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
| Milk (whole milk eq.) | |||||||||
| World | 387 |
528 |
562 |
715 |
874 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
| Developing countries | 78 |
149 |
219 |
346 |
484 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
excl. China and Brazil |
69 |
128 |
189 |
301 |
425 |
3.5 |
4.1 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
| sub-Saharan Africa | 8 |
13 |
16 |
26 |
39 |
2.7 |
1.9 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
| Latin America | 24 |
40 |
57 |
81 |
105 |
2.6 |
3.9 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
| excl. Brazil | 17 |
26 |
36 |
52 |
69 |
2.2 |
4.0 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
| Near East / North Africa | 14 |
21 |
28 |
41 |
56 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
| South Asia | 30 |
65 |
104 |
174 |
250 |
4.5 |
4.9 |
3.1 |
2.4 |
| East Asia | 3 |
10 |
15 |
25 |
34 |
6.9 |
4.5 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
excl. China |
1 |
4 |
5 |
8 |
12 |
7.3 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
2.4 |
| Industrial countries | 199 |
236 |
246 |
269 |
286 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
| Transition countries | 110 |
144 |
97 |
100 |
104 |
-0.3 |
-4.6 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
| Eggs | |||||||||
| World | 18.7 |
35.6 |
51.7 |
70.4 |
89.9 |
3.4 |
4.2 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
| Developing countries | 4.9 |
16.2 |
33.7 |
50.7 |
69.0 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
excl. China |
3.2 |
9.5 |
13.5 |
24.6 |
37.8 |
5.0 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
2.9 |
| sub-Saharan Africa | 0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
2.6 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
| Latin America | 1.2 |
3.6 |
4.6 |
7.3 |
10.4 |
4.5 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
| Near East / North Africa | 0.4 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
3.6 |
5.3 |
6.0 |
4.1 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
| South Asia | 0.3 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
5.7 |
9.9 |
6.3 |
4.7 |
5.8 |
3.7 |
| East Asia | 2.6 |
9.1 |
23.8 |
32.1 |
40.0 |
8.3 |
10.7 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
excl. China |
0.9 |
2.4 |
3.6 |
6.0 |
8.8 |
5.0 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
| Industrial countries | 10.7 |
12.8 |
13.7 |
14.8 |
15.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
| Transition countries | 3.1 |
6.5 |
4.3 |
5.0 |
5.5 |
0.7 |
-4.7 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
Examples of FAO’s collaborative efforts in livestock sector development
(7) FAO’s Strategic Framework 2000-2015 states the following
five corporate strategies, to be pursued in efficient and effective partnership
and alliance with its members and relevant institutions:
FAO’s Animal Production and Health Division serves these corporate strategies
in a balanced manner, thereby strengthening those international public goods
which are most affected by livestock, i.e. social equality, sustainability of
the natural resources base and (veterinary) public health. Four selected examples
of the FAO’s efforts in delivering on its programme in partnership with
others and in support of strengthening the contribution of the livestock sector
to the International Development Goals are outlined below.
(8) Livestock and Food Security [Livestock in the Diversification Component
of the Special Programme for Food Security (SPFS)].
The main objective of the SPFS is to help countries, primarily LIFDCs, to improve
food security both at national and at household levels - through rapid increases
in food production and productivity, by reducing year-to-year variability in
production - on an economically and environmentally sustainable basis and by
improving people's access to food. The underlying assumption is that in most
LIFDCs viable and sustainable means of increasing food availability exist but
are not realized because of a range of constraints that prevent farmers from
responding to needs and opportunities. By working with farmers and other stakeholders
to identify and resolve such constraints - whether they are of a technical,
economic, social, institutional or policy nature - and to demonstrate ways of
increasing production, the SPFS should open the way for improved productivity
and broader acces to food. A prominent feature of the SPFS is substantial South-South
technical collaboration. The SPFS involves four complementary components: water
control, intensification of crop production systems, diversification of production
systems, constraints analysis and resolution. The livestock element is introduced
in the diversification component and emphasises the use of short-cycled animals,
such as poultry, small ruminants and pigs as they are more amenable to contributing
to the target poor rural communities than large stock. The component activities
encompass the entire range of technologies and processes from production and
health to produce marketing. Of particular relevance is the livestock element
in the Diversification Component of the SPFS in areas affected by HIV/AIDS where
small animals often play a strategically important role in sustaining food security
and providing income opportunities in households deprived of their active adult
members. Currently 74 countries are involved in the programme with a total turn-over
of 494 m$ since its inception in 1994.
(9) Livestock and the Environment.
The Livestock, Environment And Development (LEAD) Initiative is an inter-institutional project with the secretariat in FAO. The work of the Initiative targets at the protection and enhancement of natural resources as affected by livestock production while alleviating poverty. Earlier work of LEAD has identified, at a global scale, the consequences of increased pressure on grazing and mixed farming systems and the dangers of the shift to industrial modes of production. It has highlighted the close and complex interaction between government policies and the environmental impact of livestock production, and identified a large number of technologies which are available to mitigate the negative effects in all different production modes, provided the appropriate policy framework is in place. The project has as objectives
The LEAD Initiative has implemented the project "Decision
Support on Livestock and Environment Issues" to provide decision-support
on maximising positive and minimising negative interactions of livestock and
environment. The project’s main goals are to increase awareness, knowledge
and understanding of livestock and environment interactions; to identify appropriate
options for livestock and environment management at regional and national level
and to convey livestock and environment concepts into government and donor policies
and projects.
(10) Livestock and Poverty Alleviation.
More than half of all the world’s rural poor predominantly rely on livestock
for their livelihood. Whether livestock is their poverty trap or whether livestock
can be an instrument for them to get out of poverty is not only dependant on
whether there is overall scope for economic growth but also on whether the policy
and institutional environment enables the participation of the poor in the benefits
of such growth. The Pro-Poor Livestock Policy Facility (PPLPF), hosted by FAO,
addresses these questions and endeavours to contribute to poverty reduction
through the formulation of international and national livestock policies that
will ensure equitable, safe and clean livestock farming. Unfortunately, in many
countries the livestock sector is heavily distorted in favour of large-scale
producers. The opportunities for broad-based poverty reduction through livestock
can only be fully exploited within a policy environment which reduces existing
financial, technical and cultural barriers faced by small-scale livestock keepers,
and which at the same time reduces their risks and vulnerability.
The Facility will therefore, through strategic alliances that capitalize on
the comparative advantage of the FAO and different partner organizations, encourage
and facilitate conceptual shifts in policy objectives that:
Five regional platforms of the Facility are envisaged for S-E Asia, S-Asia,
E-Africa, W-Africa, and the Andes as fora for facilitating the knowledge exchange
and for networking key stakeholders with the objective of forming and nurturing
the coalitions of change and expanding the range and effectiveness of pro-poor
livestock policy interventions at subnational, national regional and international
levels.
(11) Livestock Diseases Limiting Sector Productivity and its Contribution
to International Development Goals – Global Framework for the Progressive
Control of FMD and Other TADs (GF-TADs).
Devastating economic losses to livestock farmers all over the world due to major outbreaks of transboundary animal diseases (TADs) such as FMD (1997-2001), classical swine fever in the Caribbean and Europe (1996 - 2002), rinderpest in the Somali plains (2001) and Rift Valley fever in the Arabian Peninsula (2000) have been the main stimulus for the initiative of FAO and OIE to propose the creation of a Global Framework for the progressive control of FMD and other TADs (GF-TADs).
Several international processes and institutions have emphasized the need of controlling TADs due to their devastating impact on livestock agriculture, trade and food security. The World Food Summit (WFS), November 1996, recognised the pivotal, constraining role of TADs and as result the Heads of State and Governments pledged to ‘seek to ensure effective prevention and progressive control of plant and animal pests and diseases, including especially those which are of transboundary nature, such as rinderpest, cattle tick, foot and mouth disease and desert locust,.....’. The OIE International Committee (2002), called on the OIE and the FAO to pursue an international concerted action against a number of diseases having significant effects on food security, poverty alleviation, food safety, public health and access to formal markets. The 31st Session of the FAO Conference (2001) recognized the widespread and increasing impact of epidemic animal diseases, like FMD, and stressed the need to continue the work to combat the disease at the national, regional and international level involving all relevant stakeholders. The WFS:fyl (2002), reiterated the 1996 WFS commitment and called for specific action and voluntary financial contribution to the FAO Global Trust Fund to facilitate food security programmes and combat TADs.
There is ample evidence from various studies that the risk of spread of TADs
will increase unless a concerted international action is put into place for
effective prevention and progressive control. This conclusion is predominantly
based on predictions of an unprecedented growth of the livestock sector and
consumption of livestock products, particularly in TAD-endemic developing countries.
The predicted growth in livestock is expected to result in increased livestock
farming in the tropical/sub-tropical zones, with trend towards large farming
units, and increase in trade in livestock and livestock products through informal
and formal markets regionally and internationally.
The goals of the initiative, agreed through extensive consultations with regional
organisations, regional commissions and offices of FAO and OIE and partners
from national agriculture systems are the following:
It is suggested that the such goals can only be achieved if the major TADs are controlled at source, which is mainly in the developing countries.
The GF-TADs programme will be developed along four main thrusts:
Samuel C. Jutzi,
Director, Animal Production and Health
Division, Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations (FAO), Rome,
Italy
Literature
Delgado, C., M. Rosegrant, H. Steinfeld, S. Ehui and C. Courbois, 1999. Livestock to 2020: The next food revolution, Food Agriculture, and the Environment Discussion Paper 28, IFPRI, Washington, D.C.
Delgado, C. and C. Narrod, 2002. Impact of changing market forces and policies on structural change in the livestock industries of selected fast-growing countries. Draft IFPRI-FAO-LEAD research report prepared for DfID.
DFID, 2000. Halving world poverty by 2015, economic growth, equity and security. Strategies for achieving the international dveleopment targets. DFID Strategy Paper. www.dfid.gov.uk/public/what/pdf/tsp_economic.pdf
FAO, 1996. World livestock production systems: Current status, issues and trends. FAO Animal Production and Health paper 127, FAO, Rome
FAO, 1999. The Strategic Framework for FAO: 2000-2015, FAO, Rome
FAO, 2003. World agriculture: towards 2015/2030 – An FAO perspective (ed. J. Bruinsma), FAO, Rome
IFAD, 2001. Rural poverty report 2001. Oxford University Press, Oxford
LID, Livestock in Development, 1999. Livestock in poverty-focussed development. Crewkerne, Somerset, U.K
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